All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
CHI Health Center Omaha · December 15, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -7.0 Away covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual ASU +1 115 Lost
Massey CREI -9.5 (-10.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.9 (-19.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CREI -9.3 (-10.3) 137.5 (-22.5) 80% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -9.1 (-10.1) 138.4 (-23.4) 82% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -9.7 (-10.7) 137.1 (-22.1) 82% ✗
Baseline ML CREI -10.2 (-11.2) 136.5 (-21.5) 81% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2022 ASU 73 – 71 CREI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI ASU
Overall 23-12 14-17
Conference 12-7 10-10
Home 11-4 9-6
Away 6-5 5-7
Neutral 6-3 0-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.2 65.4
Avg Pts Against 66.4 67.2
Massey 5.5 (#87) 0.7 (#162)
Bradley-Terry 2.67 (#24) 0.05 (#183)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.16 (#20) 0.06 (#185)
RPI 0.607 (#39) 0.520 (#137)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI ASU
FG% 49.1% 39.3%
3PT% 31.6% 29.4%
REB / G 38.2 36.7
OREB / G 10.2 10.8
AST / TO 1.01 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 45.1%
TOV% 20.4% 18.5%
ORB% 31.4% 27.9%
FT Rate 19.2% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 18.4%
DRB% 70.7% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 14.1% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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