Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -138 ASU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -0.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -1.8 (-0.2) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -0.2 (-1.8) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -2.5 (+0.5) | 137.9 (+6.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -2.1 (+0.1) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | ASU 58 – 57 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#37) | 10.7 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#101) | 2.46 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#99) | 4.01 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#72) | 0.602 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 39.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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