Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HART -2.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -1.6 (-16.6) | 150.8 (-3.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -2.8 (-17.8) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -2.3 (-17.3) | 155.0 (-8.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -2.0 (-17.0) | 153.0 (-6.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | SFPA 77 – 53 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#252) | -1.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#310) | -1.58 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#301) | -2.13 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#335) | 0.413 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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