Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -14.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -15.1 (-7.1) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -12.8 (-4.8) | 142.2 (+7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -12.3 (-4.3) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -11.5 (-3.5) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#45) | -0.7 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#13) | 1.92 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#14) | 2.37 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#16) | 0.512 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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