Betting Lines
| Spread | USM -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +11 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -8.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -5.6 (-5.4) | 124.2 (-11.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -5.8 (-5.2) | 125.7 (-12.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -5.9 (-5.1) | 126.8 (-13.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -6.1 (-4.9) | 127.3 (-14.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2020 | JAX 66 – 51 USM |
Game Analysis
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