Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -0.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.3 (-9.7) | 144.4 (-14.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -1.5 (-11.5) | 146.9 (-16.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.5 (-12.5) | 147.3 (-17.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -1.3 (-11.3) | 145.8 (-15.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2021 | TXSO 77 – 75 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#258) | -0.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#190) | -0.29 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#170) | 0.20 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#112) | 0.512 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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