Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SFA -13.3 (-26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -12.9 (-25.9) | 150.8 (+0.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -10.9 (-23.9) | 148.5 (+2.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -11.5 (-24.5) | 149.4 (+1.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -11.9 (-24.9) | 150.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | SFA 96 – 76 ULM |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SFA 68 – 60 ULM |
| Dec 12, 2020 | ULM 66 – 55 SFA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#136) | -6.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#100) | -0.70 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#141) | -1.09 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#75) | 0.561 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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