Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +29 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -14.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -13.8 (+15.2) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -13.6 (+15.4) | 150.3 (-21.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -12.5 (+16.5) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -12.5 (+16.5) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | MSST 101 – 66 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#51) | -1.0 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#81) | 0.17 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#70) | 0.28 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#86) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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