Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +32 | 94 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -32.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-43.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -31.2 (+0.8) | 134.5 (-40.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -31.6 (+0.4) | 136.1 (-42.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -24.3 (+7.7) | 137.7 (-43.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -27.9 (+4.1) | 134.7 (-40.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | TEX 121 – 57 UAPB |
| Dec 10, 2022 | TEX 88 – 43 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#18) | -13.4 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#59) | -3.00 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#47) | -4.31 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#61) | 0.462 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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