Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -28.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -28.0 (-13.0) | 145.3 (-18.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -26.7 (-11.7) | 146.5 (-19.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -23.7 (-8.7) | 145.9 (-18.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -23.2 (-8.2) | 142.1 (-15.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | HOU 91 – 45 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 21.6 (#3) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#45) | -0.22 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#27) | -0.09 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#52) | 0.462 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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