Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOU N/A UL +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +46 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -30.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -31.0 (+15.0) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -25.7 (+20.3) | 138.6 (-2.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | HOU 71 – 56 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-12 |
| Away | 10-0 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#7) | -4.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#211) | -1.76 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#190) | -2.39 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#155) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 51.5% | 45.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 14.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 44.0% |
Game Analysis
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