Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -14.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -16.2 (+2.8) | 129.8 (+15.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -12.5 (+6.5) | 130.1 (+14.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -13.0 (+6.0) | 131.2 (+13.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -13.0 (+6.0) | 131.6 (+13.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | WICH 78 – 54 ALCN |
| Nov 12, 2022 | ALCN 66 – 57 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#76) | -3.2 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#49) | -1.63 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#46) | -2.16 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#33) | 0.449 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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