Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -50000 ALCN +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +24 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -24.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -19.3 (+4.7) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -19.3 (+4.7) | 141.3 (-9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -16.7 (+7.3) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -17.5 (+6.5) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | ALCN 66 – 57 WICH |
| Dec 15, 2021 | WICH 82 – 63 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#115) | -16.3 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#28) | -2.75 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#31) | -4.18 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#28) | 0.424 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 33.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 37.6% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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