Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -1600 ALCN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -17.7 (-26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -12.7 (-21.7) | 140.5 (-17.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -17.7 (-26.7) | 137.2 (-14.2) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | WICH 78 – 54 ALCN |
| Dec 15, 2021 | WICH 82 – 63 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-9 | 7-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#87) | -0.3 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#119) | -0.43 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#81) | -0.61 (#212) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 46.7% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 26.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 32.9% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.6% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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