Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -17.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -12.0 (-5.0) | 154.8 (-7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -14.5 (-7.5) | 152.3 (-5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -15.4 (-8.4) | 152.3 (-5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -14.6 (-7.6) | 152.0 (-5.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 18-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#30) | -1.2 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#22) | 0.04 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.23 (#17) | 0.12 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#105) | 0.471 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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