Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -29.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +26 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -27.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -24.7 (+1.3) | 143.3 (-29.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -23.0 (+3.0) | 139.9 (-25.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -24.8 (+1.2) | 138.8 (-24.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -25.2 (+0.8) | 144.9 (-30.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | AUB 102 – 69 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#12) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#20) | -0.42 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#19) | -0.73 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#12) | 0.452 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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