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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+1.4 | 131.0 | 58% | 58–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.3 | 138.2 | 88% | 93–98 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.8 | 130.0 | 18% | 82–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.0 | 141.7 | 36% | 79–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.1 | 129.2 | 86% | 61–57 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 142.4 | 48% | 70–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.0 | 133.9 | 80% | 77–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.9 | 139.9 | 88% | 60–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.7 | 144.4 | 88% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.