Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -4.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.4 (-6.6) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.0 (-7.0) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.7 (-5.3) | 144.0 (+4.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.3 (-6.7) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | SHU 88 – 85 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#348) | -5.5 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#345) | -1.54 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.82 (#347) | -2.64 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.275 (#358) | 0.444 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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