Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -20.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -15.1 (-19.1) | 129.2 (-11.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -16.1 (-20.1) | 131.7 (-13.7) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -17.0 (-21.0) | 130.6 (-12.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -16.6 (-20.6) | 128.9 (-10.9) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#109) | -11.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#170) | -2.69 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#147) | -3.87 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#192) | 0.360 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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