Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -16.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+61.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -14.3 (-9.3) | 138.2 (+52.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -13.1 (-8.1) | 139.8 (+51.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -13.0 (-8.0) | 139.7 (+51.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -12.3 (-7.3) | 140.5 (+50.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#47) | -2.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#94) | -0.11 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#82) | -0.24 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#82) | 0.456 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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