Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +24 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -9.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -8.8 (-15.2) | 130.0 (+10.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -8.2 (-15.8) | 130.9 (+9.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -9.1 (-14.9) | 131.2 (+8.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -7.4 (-16.6) | 129.6 (+10.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 5-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#306) | 6.1 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#339) | 1.02 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#328) | 1.50 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#347) | 0.587 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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