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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California Baptist
@
UC Riverside
|
+6.4 | 129.9 | 72% | 54–70 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Stanford
|
+2.0 | 135.3 | 60% | 69–72 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Iona
|
+4.9 | 146.8 | 67% | 77–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Pittsburgh
|
-3.9 | 131.3 | 33% | 56–52 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Seton Hall
|
+12.8 | 139.4 | 86% | 63–77 | ✓ |
UC San Diego
@
Seattle U
|
+3.3 | 137.3 | 69% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Chicago State
|
+3.5 | 125.3 | 47% | 70–59 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Princeton
|
+5.5 | 158.5 | 74% | 77–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.