Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -6.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.9 (+9.1) | 146.8 (+21.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.8 (+8.2) | 146.2 (+21.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -5.1 (+8.9) | 147.0 (+21.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.9 (+9.1) | 149.2 (+18.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#61) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#31) | -0.12 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#31) | 0.18 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#28) | 0.497 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.