Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | INST -0.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -0.9 (+6.1) | 141.3 (+5.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | INST -0.8 (+7.8) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -1.6 (+5.4) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -1.8 (+5.2) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | INST 101 – 75 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#267) | -0.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#183) | 0.20 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#167) | 0.14 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#183) | 0.534 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.