Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -5.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -9.8 (+2.2) | 151.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -5.0 (+7.0) | 155.1 (+2.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -5.3 (+6.7) | 155.6 (+2.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -5.8 (+6.2) | 153.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-13 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 9-5 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L21 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#163) | 0.2 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#218) | -1.59 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#218) | -1.73 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#202) | 0.377 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.