Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -35.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +44 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -30.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -28.7 (+15.3) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.4 (+19.6) | 139.1 (+8.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -29.4 (+14.6) | 140.1 (+7.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -30.1 (+13.9) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2020 | TENN 80 – 60 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#10) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#36) | -2.20 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#32) | -3.15 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#34) | 0.413 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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