Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -37.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -24.5 (-4.5) | 140.1 (-0.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -25.4 (-5.4) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -32.1 (-12.1) | 137.7 (+2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -34.5 (-14.5) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | TENN 96 – 52 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 5-18 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#2) | -11.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#23) | -3.04 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#22) | -4.79 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#48) | 0.389 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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