Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -12.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -11.3 (-4.3) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -10.8 (-3.8) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -11.1 (-4.1) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -10.8 (-3.8) | 150.6 (-5.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | DREX 69 – 54 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#170) | -7.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#219) | -2.34 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#222) | -2.56 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#258) | 0.414 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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