Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | DREX -1450 COPP +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +15 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -14.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -10.7 (+4.3) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -11.3 (+3.7) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -12.7 (+2.3) | 141.7 (-18.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -12.9 (+2.1) | 139.7 (-16.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | DREX 76 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#93) | -3.6 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#188) | -1.62 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#228) | -2.38 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#130) | 0.229 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 32.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 39.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.