Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | USC -10.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -10.6 (-5.6) | 131.1 (-4.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -11.1 (-6.1) | 132.2 (-5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -10.9 (-5.9) | 132.0 (-5.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -10.7 (-5.7) | 133.5 (-6.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | UCI 70 – 60 USC |
| Dec 9, 2020 | USC 91 – 56 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 61.4 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#17) | 8.4 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#5) | 1.57 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.19 (#8) | 2.06 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#6) | 0.628 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 40.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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