Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -19.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -17.7 (-4.7) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -17.3 (-4.3) | 144.9 (+10.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -16.0 (-3.0) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -15.6 (-2.6) | 144.9 (+10.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | UNLV 80 – 69 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#206) | -16.3 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#155) | -3.44 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#153) | -5.00 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#119) | 0.395 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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