Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -2500 OMA +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -3.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -2.9 (+8.1) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -3.3 (+7.7) | 151.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -3.3 (+7.7) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -3.8 (+7.2) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | UNLV 84 – 71 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#231) | 3.5 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#272) | 0.34 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#264) | 0.36 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#170) | 0.383 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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