Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -15.2 (-12.2) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.9 (-10.9) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.4 (-11.4) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -13.6 (-10.6) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 9-2 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#33) | -1.2 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#14) | 0.71 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#21) | 0.90 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.679 (#5) | 0.540 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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