Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +30 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -16.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -13.8 (+16.2) | 148.1 (-8.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -12.3 (+17.7) | 155.4 (-15.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -13.1 (+16.9) | 156.6 (-16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -12.9 (+17.1) | 153.2 (-13.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | RICE 80 – 57 UIW |
| Nov 27, 2020 | RICE 68 – 53 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#186) | -11.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#195) | -2.63 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#202) | -3.48 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#205) | 0.423 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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