Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | RICE -700 UIW +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -6.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -7.5 (+15.5) | 149.9 (-12.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.0 (+18.0) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.4 (+17.6) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.2 (+16.8) | 151.9 (-14.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | RICE 85 – 55 UIW |
| Nov 27, 2020 | RICE 68 – 53 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#281) | -7.3 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#245) | -1.51 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#244) | -1.94 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#189) | 0.395 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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