NC State
Wolfpack
74
–
83
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Shootout Pres. by Hotels.com
Richmond
Spiders
Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -2.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.2 (-6.8) | 147.2 (+9.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.4 (-7.6) | 147.2 (+9.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -1.6 (-7.4) | 149.1 (+7.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.7 (-7.3) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#130) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#121) | 0.91 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#113) | 1.39 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#154) | 0.546 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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