Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +26 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -11.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -12.0 (+14.0) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -12.0 (+14.0) | 138.6 (-10.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -11.4 (+14.6) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -13.8 (+12.2) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | VAN 85 – 55 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-8 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#105) | -3.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#187) | -0.73 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#172) | -1.30 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#201) | 0.471 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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