Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -0.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -2.0 (+6.0) | 129.4 (+14.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -2.1 (+5.9) | 130.0 (+14.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -2.1 (+5.9) | 131.2 (+12.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -2.6 (+5.4) | 131.5 (+12.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | DAY 65 – 62 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#141) | 5.5 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#155) | 0.72 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#153) | 0.31 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#198) | 0.517 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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