Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -14.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -15.6 (-4.6) | 128.5 (-7.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -15.7 (-4.7) | 127.6 (-6.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -15.3 (-4.3) | 127.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -14.4 (-3.4) | 128.1 (-7.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | FLA 98 – 83 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#39) | -4.5 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | -1.13 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#105) | -1.26 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.390 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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