Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -0.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -1.2 (+0.8) | 148.1 (+29.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.0 (+1.0) | 145.6 (+32.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.0 (+1.0) | 146.6 (+31.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -1.2 (+0.8) | 147.9 (+30.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | TNST 80 – 61 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#337) | -7.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#311) | -1.64 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.83 (#338) | -2.15 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#311) | 0.354 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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