Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -7.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -4.4 (-16.4) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -4.6 (-16.6) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -3.7 (-15.7) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -4.1 (-16.1) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | PAC 91 – 86 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-13 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#216) | -4.9 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#287) | 0.25 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#272) | 0.42 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#333) | 0.496 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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