Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -225 PAC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +5 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -9.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -3.7 (-8.7) | 146.2 (+30.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -1.4 (-6.4) | 147.4 (+29.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -2.3 (-7.3) | 147.8 (+29.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | NDSU 73 – 61 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#228) | -0.1 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#270) | -0.72 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#268) | -1.09 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#85) | 0.250 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 45.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.