Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -8.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -8.7 (-7.7) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -6.2 (-5.2) | 141.2 (-14.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -8.7 (-7.7) | 142.0 (-15.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -8.9 (-7.9) | 140.5 (-13.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2020 | SPU 82 – 68 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#211) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#153) | -2.09 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#164) | -2.88 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#168) | 0.444 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 39.0% |
Game Analysis
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