Charlotte
49ers
79
–
82
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Shootout Pres. by Hotels.com
Wake Forest
Demon Deacons
Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -14.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -11.6 (+8.6) | 147.1 (+13.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.4 (+8.4) | 149.1 (+11.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -11.2 (+8.2) | 147.7 (+13.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -10.6 (+7.6) | 149.1 (+11.9) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#243) | 10.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | 3.05 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#193) | 4.75 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#130) | 0.553 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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