And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
40–7 on winners spread MAE 7.9 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma State @ Houston +8.4 136.7 82% 61–72 ✓
LSU @ Louisiana Tech -11.8 143.9 16% 66–57 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky +7.6 144.8 72% 68–81 ✓
Southern Utah @ Michigan +11.7 144.4 81% 50–87 ✓
George Mason @ Georgia +1.9 138.2 55% 80–67 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Samford +5.1 144.3 72% 84–85 ✓
San Francisco @ Grand Canyon -3.0 134.1 43% 48–49 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Kansas +20.2 153.4 90% 72–80 ✓
Hofstra @ Arkansas +5.4 151.6 74% 89–81 ✗
Texas A&M @ Oregon State -4.8 136.0 32% 83–73 ✓
BYU @ Weber State -5.6 149.8 29% 89–71 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Pepperdine +10.4 147.6 82% 77–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Missouri State +24.7 151.4 91% 70–106 ✓
Chattanooga @ Murray State +3.2 137.3 64% 76–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Alabama +18.5 153.4 89% 59–65 ✓
Auburn @ Saint Louis -0.6 150.5 41% 74–70 ✓
Utah State @ Iowa +1.2 152.5 60% 75–94 ✓
Baylor @ Oregon -7.1 138.4 26% 78–70 ✓
Seattle U @ Washington +3.0 146.5 63% 56–64 ✓
Portland State @ Cal State Northridge +3.3 130.3 58% 66–69 ✓
San Diego @ Northern Arizona -4.6 130.2 36% 69–59 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Nevada +6.3 144.0 68% 63–68 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Iowa State +21.4 137.9 90% 54–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +13.0 141.9 86% 75–89 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UMass Lowell +6.6 141.2 76% 62–70 ✓
UC Irvine @ Duquesne -8.8 131.6 24% 54–76 ✗
Fairfield @ Massachusetts +3.9 150.7 72% 73–77 ✓
Mercer @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.2 145.5 64% 55–67 ✓
Army @ Long Island University -0.8 141.2 44% 65–90 ✗
Air Force @ Arkansas State +4.9 126.2 72% 46–68 ✓
Holy Cross @ Harvard +16.0 142.8 89% 54–62 ✓
Colgate @ Monmouth +8.3 143.5 80% 66–77 ✓
Robert Morris @ Bowling Green +12.5 154.2 85% 74–100 ✓
Northern Illinois @ UIC +7.1 128.1 80% 60–61 ✓
Texas @ Stanford -8.8 126.9 17% 60–53 ✓
UT Martin @ Drake +17.5 145.5 89% 54–80 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Middle Tennessee +4.5 139.9 73% 80–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oklahoma +21.7 134.0 90% 50–70 ✓
SMU @ New Mexico -0.2 156.7 46% 90–72 ✓
UC Davis @ Pacific +2.0 136.0 61% 77–67 ✗
Dartmouth @ California +9.2 132.6 81% 55–61 ✓
Old Dominion @ Richmond +10.7 133.3 83% 61–67 ✓
Portland @ Montana State +10.8 146.4 87% 59–61 ✓
Montana @ Santa Clara +10.7 140.5 82% 64–79 ✓
Southern @ Kent State +10.5 135.4 79% 78–76 ✗
Kansas State @ Nebraska -2.6 146.1 41% 67–58 ✓
San Francisco @ Arizona State -1.5 134.6 49% 66–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.