Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -2400 UTM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -16.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -17.5 (+8.5) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.8 (+12.2) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.2 (+12.8) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -13.7 (+12.3) | 147.0 (-13.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#96) | -6.5 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#126) | -1.20 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#112) | -1.51 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#130) | 0.435 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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