Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -8.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -5.0 (-0.0) | 146.7 (-15.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -5.7 (-0.7) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -5.8 (-0.8) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -6.3 (-1.3) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | LMU 68 – 64 NEV |
| Dec 3, 2023 | NEV 73 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | LMU 64 – 52 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#135) | -2.5 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#185) | 0.31 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#175) | 0.26 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#125) | 0.519 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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