Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LMU +290 NEV -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -11.2 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -4.9 (+8.9) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -6.1 (+10.1) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -5.9 (+9.9) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -7.8 (+11.8) | 133.3 (-1.3) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | NEV 73 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 4, 2022 | LMU 64 – 52 NEV |
| Dec 19, 2021 | NEV 68 – 63 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#257) | 10.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#193) | 1.63 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#182) | 2.30 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.629 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 42.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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