Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -6.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -4.6 (-5.4) | 130.2 (-2.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -4.3 (-5.7) | 133.3 (-5.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -4.2 (-5.8) | 133.6 (-5.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -4.3 (-5.7) | 131.7 (-3.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | USD 78 – 69 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#289) | -0.4 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#254) | -0.38 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#249) | 0.18 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#264) | 0.456 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.