Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -15.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -10.7 (+4.3) | 140.5 (+2.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -12.4 (+2.6) | 143.3 (-0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.7 (+2.3) | 142.4 (+0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.1 (+2.9) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#86) | -5.0 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#137) | 0.02 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#107) | 0.30 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#139) | 0.492 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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